April 28, 2016

"Hu Sheng-cheng, academician of Academia Sinica and Taiwan 'president-elect' Tsai Ing-wen's mentor, told the Liberty Times that Tsai would not mention the 1992 Consensus in her inaugural speech, but her wording would be acceptable to the Chinese mainland, the US and Japan. It's said Tsai would put forward that the new government would continue to promote the peace, stability and development of cross-Straits relations based on the historical facts of the 1992 cross-Straits meeting, the consensus of seeking common ground while reserving differences, and the current "ROC constitutional system." Most analysts believe Hu was not spreading a groundless rumor.

It seems that Tsai is determined to advance her ambiguity over the core issue of cross-Straits ties. She backs away from the current stance of the KMT government, while not directly jumping on the springboard of Taiwan independence. Since the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) is pro-independence, it's widely believed the party would gear up to promote 'Taiwan independence' rather than detaching from it after the inaugural speech is delivered. The prospects for future cross-Straits ties are pessimistic and the inaugural speech may herald the beginning."

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