
Is an outright Russian military victory in Ukraine possible?
2022-03-18 09:32:19 source:The Guardian
March 17, 2022
Russia’s invasion of Ukraine is already more than three weeks old, and the death toll in the bitter conflict is already likely to have exceeded 10,000. But there is also no sign of a decisive military breakthrough on either side, which could have important consequences for what is to come.
On the one hand, Russia’s attack on its neighbour has been so poorly coordinated that it has left many military experts baffled. Yet while Ukraine’s defence has been exceptionally determined, it is also clear that it cannot force out the 150,000 invading troops from its territory.
“The thing that has surprised onlookers is just how average the Russian military has been and how they have struggled with a complicated military operation,” said Phil Osborn, a former air marshal and chief of British defence intelligence. “If you look at the current position, Russia is struggling to maintain the tempo.”
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