IMF raises China's economic growth forecast
2026-01-20 10:10:09 source：CGTN
January 19, 2026
The International Monetary Fund (IMF) raised its forecast for China's economic growth in 2025 and 2026 to 5.0 and 4.5 percent, respectively, in its updated World Economic Outlook on Monday. This upward revision reflects stronger activity supported by stimulus measures and additional investment financing from policy banks, which have helped sustain domestic demand and bolster confidence amid external pressures, according to the outlook.
According to the IMF, the global economy is expected to remain relatively resilient despite trade disruptions and geopolitical uncertainties. The Fund projects global growth of about 3.3 percent in 2026, an upward adjustment of 0.2 percentage points from its October forecast, with improved performance in major economies such as the United States and China contributing to the revision.
China's stronger outlook is partly due to improved export performance and supportive fiscal and credit policies. Chinese policymakers have also responded to IMF recommendations by enhancing macroeconomic support, including targeted fiscal measures, continued monetary accommodation, and efforts to stimulate private investment and consumption. These measures align with the IMF's emphasis on balancing external resilience with sustainable domestic growth.
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